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24 Sep · 21:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1372
3-1Final setsMrugala won
PKPiotr Krukar
🇵🇱Piotr Krukar
ELO 1381
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krukar at 55%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mrugala favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mrugala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mrugala −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Piotr Krukar.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 48% → final 9%
Piotr Krukar ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts72 points · 4 games