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25 Sep · 17:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TFTomasz Filbrandt
🇵🇱Tomasz Filbrandt
ELO 1600
3-0Final setsFilbrandt won
KSKonrad Staszczyk
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1652
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staszczyk at 60%. The actual result was Tomasz Filbrandt 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Konrad Staszczyk favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 75.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Konrad Staszczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Konrad Staszczyk −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomasz Filbrandt is favoured to win, below means Konrad Staszczyk.

▲ Tomasz Filbrandtpre 36% → final 100%
Konrad Staszczyk ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsFilbrandt recovered from 24%54 points · 3 games