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24 Sep · 22:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PKPiotr Krukar
🇵🇱Piotr Krukar
ELO 1381
3-2Final setsKrukar won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1358
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krukar at 53%. The actual result was Piotr Krukar 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krukar favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 74.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krukar −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krukar −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Krukar is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Piotr Krukarpre 57% → final 95%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 91 ptsKrukar recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games