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24 Sep · 22:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1358
2-3Final setsSkorski won
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1344
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorski at 51%. The actual result was Michal Skorski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 76.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Michal Skorski.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 53% → final 5%
Michal Skorski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsSkorski recovered from 40%57 points · 3 games