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24 Sep · 23:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1372
0-3Final setsRolak won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1358
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 52%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rolak favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rolak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rolak −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 56% → final 95%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsMrugala recovered from 38%71 points · 4 games