25 Sep · 00:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1567
0-3Final setsNowak won
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1341
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 77%. The actual result was Jakub Nowak 0-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.2
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.
▲ Marek Tkoczpre 76% → final 3%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsNowak recovered from 16%53 points · 3 games