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25 Sep · 00:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1354
1-3Final setsGlanowski won
JGJakub Glanowski
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1446
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Glanowski at 62%. The actual result was Jakub Glanowski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Glanowski favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Set handicap
Jakub Glanowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Glanowski −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Jakub Glanowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 40% → final 4%
Jakub Glanowski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsGlanowski recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games