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DeuceLab
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25 Sep · 01:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JNJakub Nowak
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1341
3-1Final setsNowak won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1559
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 64%. The actual result was Jakub Nowak 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.2
Upset
Total 69.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
10
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Nowak is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Jakub Nowakpre 38% → final 97%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsNowak recovered from 25%72 points · 4 games