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25 Sep · 01:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PAPawel Adamus
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1543
3-2Final setsAdamus won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1567
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 54%. The actual result was Pawel Adamus 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 74.5
104 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Adamus is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Pawel Adamuspre 49% → final 95%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsAdamus recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games