Mateusz Baran vs Grzegorz Mucha — TT Elite Series

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25 Sep · 02:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mateusz Baran

ELO 1496

3-1Final setsBaran won

🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha

ELO 1493

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 53%. The actual result was Mateusz Baran 3-1 — the underdog won.

Mateusz Baran — profile →Grzegorz Mucha — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Grzegorz Mucha favoured — closing 1.65

Upset

Set handicap

Grzegorz Mucha −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Grzegorz Mucha −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.75

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Baran is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Mucha.

▲ Mateusz Baranpre 43% → final 98%

Grzegorz Mucha ▼

Biggest swing 75 ptsBaran recovered from 24%66 points · 4 games