Henryk Tkaczyk vs Mateusz Baran — TT Elite Series

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25 Sep · 03:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk

ELO 1640

2-3Final setsBaran won

🇵🇱Mateusz Baran

ELO 1496

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 66%. The actual result was Mateusz Baran 2-3 — the underdog won.

Henryk Tkaczyk — profile →Mateusz Baran — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Henryk Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.35

Upset

Total 73.5

92 points played

Over

Set handicap

Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Henryk Tkaczyk −6.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Henryk Tkaczyk is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Baran.

▲ Henryk Tkaczykpre 71% → final 34%

Mateusz Baran ▼

Biggest swing 54 ptsBaran recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games