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25 Sep · 04:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1687
1-3Final setsWisniewski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1583
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 54%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 75.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 58% → final 11%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsWisniewski recovered from 22%72 points · 4 games