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25 Sep · 04:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MZMateusz Zagajewski
🇵🇱Mateusz Zagajewski
ELO 1413
1-3Final setsWisniewski won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1334
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zagajewski at 59%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Zagajewski favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 76.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mateusz Zagajewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Zagajewski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Zagajewski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Mateusz Zagajewskipre 56% → final 6%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsWisniewski recovered from 40%71 points · 4 games