25 Sept · 06:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1344
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Lukaszewski
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1342
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Lukaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H19-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.