25 Sept · 07:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1484
FormLWLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Stapor
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1344
FormLLWLL
65%
35%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 72% (32)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H25-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-16)