25 Sept · 07:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1557
FormWWLWL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Czerwinski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1334
FormWLWLL
73%
27%
Fair odds · Czerwinski
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 72% · 1.40· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+223
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+223)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)