25 Sept · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇵🇱Mateusz Zagajewski
ELO 1413
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zagajewski
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1350
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Zagajewski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)