25 Sept · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1560
FormWWWLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Czerwinski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1336
FormLLLWL
73%
27%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 72% (32)
Fair odds · Czerwinski
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+224
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+224)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)