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25 Sep · 07:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DWDariusz Wrobel
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1365
2-3Final setsWisniewski won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1332
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wisniewski at 50%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wisniewski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 76.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wisniewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wisniewski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Wrobel is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Dariusz Wrobelpre 46% → final 11%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsWisniewski recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games