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25 Sep · 07:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1554
3-1Final setsCzerwinski won
MZMateusz Zagajewski
🇵🇱Mateusz Zagajewski
ELO 1380
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Czerwinski at 67%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 74.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Zagajewski.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 72% → final 100%
Mateusz Zagajewski ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsCzerwinski recovered from 24%72 points · 4 games