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25 Sep · 08:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1332
0-3Final setsWisniewski won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1347
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 51%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mikolaj Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 76.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 55% → final 5%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsWisniewski recovered from 41%56 points · 3 games