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25 Sep · 08:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1645
1-3Final setsMalachowski won
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1622
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kapik at 52%. The actual result was Michal Malachowski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Kapik favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Michal Malachowski.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 56% → final 2%
Michal Malachowski ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsMalachowski recovered from 28%68 points · 4 games