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25 Sep · 08:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1445
0-3Final setsNowak won
JNJakub Nowak
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1365
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kaczmarek at 54%. The actual result was Jakub Nowak 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kaczmarek favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 76.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 58% → final 12%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsNowak recovered from 35%55 points · 3 games