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25 Sep · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1645
3-0Final setsKapik won
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1622
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kapik at 51%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Kapik favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 76.5
64 points played
Under
Set handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Michal Malachowski.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 55% → final 2%
Michal Malachowski ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsMalachowski recovered from 29%68 points · 4 games