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25 Sep · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMateusz Zagajewski
🇵🇱Mateusz Zagajewski
ELO 1380
0-3Final setsWisniewski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1592
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wisniewski at 71%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karol Wisniewski favoured — closing 1.22
Favourite won
Total 72.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Karol Wisniewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Karol Wisniewski −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Zagajewski is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Mateusz Zagajewskipre 24% → final 3%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 26 pts71 points · 4 games