Maciej Nowalinski vs Dawid Kosmal — TT Elite Series

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25 Sep · 09:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski

ELO 1688

3-2Final setsNowalinski won

🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal

ELO 1583

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nowalinski at 59%. The actual result was Maciej Nowalinski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Maciej Nowalinski — profile →Dawid Kosmal — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Maciej Nowalinski favoured — closing 1.45

Favourite won

Total 74.5

104 points played

Over

Set handicap

Maciej Nowalinski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Maciej Nowalinski −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Nowalinski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kosmal.

▲ Maciej Nowalinskipre 56% → final 79%

Dawid Kosmal ▼

Biggest swing 91 ptsNowalinski recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games