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25 Sep · 10:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1645
3-2Final setsKapik won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1671
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 54%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Kapik favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
103 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 42% → final 76%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsKapik recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games