25 Sept · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1671
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Poliniewicz
MM
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1622
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
🌟Poliniewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H18-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)