25 Sept · 14:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1592
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slawinski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1570
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H27-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.