25 Sept · 15:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1498
FormWWLLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Urban
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1272
FormLWWWL
73%
27%
🌟Urban goes over total as favourite 68% (63)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+226
H2H15-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+226)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-3)