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25 Sep · 13:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TFTomasz Filbrandt
🇵🇱Tomasz Filbrandt
ELO 1580
2-3Final setsWisniewski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1598
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wisniewski at 52%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karol Wisniewski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 74.5
102 points played
Over
Set handicap
Karol Wisniewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Karol Wisniewski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomasz Filbrandt is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Tomasz Filbrandtpre 51% → final 23%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsWisniewski recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games