25 Sept · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WJ
🇵🇱Waldemar Jozala
ELO 1350
FormLWWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1533
FormWWWWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+183
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)