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DeuceLab
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25 Sep · 13:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1689
3-2Final setsPoliniewicz won
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1578
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 61%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 73.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kosmal.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 65% → final 99%
Dawid Kosmal ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 40%63 points · 4 games