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25 Sep · 14:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MNMaciej Nowalinski
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1700
3-1Final setsNowalinski won
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1623
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nowalinski at 57%. The actual result was Maciej Nowalinski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Nowalinski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maciej Nowalinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maciej Nowalinski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Nowalinski is favoured to win, below means Michal Malachowski.

▲ Maciej Nowalinskipre 54% → final 96%
Michal Malachowski ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games