25 Sept · 18:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1417
FormWLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Filbrandt
TF
🇵🇱Tomasz Filbrandt
ELO 1580
FormWLLWW
33%
67%
🌟Filbrandt rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (62)
Fair odds · Filbrandt
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 72% · 1.40· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)