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25 Sep · 15:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMarcin Wozniczka
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1516
3-1Final setsWozniczka won
MWMichal Wolny
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1427
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wozniczka at 58%. The actual result was Marcin Wozniczka 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Wozniczka favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 73.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Wozniczka −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Wozniczka −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Wozniczka is favoured to win, below means Michal Wolny.

▲ Marcin Wozniczkapre 55% → final 91%
Michal Wolny ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsWozniczka recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games