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25 Sep · 16:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1655
3-2Final setsPawlik won
MWMarcin Wozniczka
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1516
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 55%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 74.5
104 points played
Over
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Marcin Wozniczka.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 52% → final 90%
Marcin Wozniczka ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsPawlik recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games