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25 Sep · 16:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DSDariusz Szlubowski
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1417
3-0Final setsSzlubowski won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1329
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szlubowski at 61%. The actual result was Dariusz Szlubowski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Szlubowski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 75.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Dariusz Szlubowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Dariusz Szlubowski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Szlubowski is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Dariusz Szlubowskipre 65% → final 92%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 32 pts55 points · 3 games