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25 Sep · 17:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WGWojciech Gluszek
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1292
3-0Final setsGluszek won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1324
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 56%. The actual result was Wojciech Gluszek 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mikolaj Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wojciech Gluszek is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Wojciech Gluszekpre 40% → final 99%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsGluszek recovered from 33%56 points · 3 games