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25 Sep · 17:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1380
3-2Final setsMrugala won
DSDariusz Szlubowski
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1417
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szlubowski at 59%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Szlubowski favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 73.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dariusz Szlubowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dariusz Szlubowski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Szlubowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 44% → final 88%
Dariusz Szlubowski ▼
Biggest swing 90 ptsMrugala recovered from 4%72 points · 5 games