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25 Sep · 17:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DFDamian Fira
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1419
3-2Final setsFira won
JOJan Orszulik
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1500
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Orszulik at 67%. The actual result was Damian Fira 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Orszulik favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 73.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Orszulik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Orszulik −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Damian Fira is favoured to win, below means Jan Orszulik.

▲ Damian Firapre 28% → final 100%
Jan Orszulik ▼
Biggest swing 96 ptsFira recovered from 4%72 points · 5 games