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25 Sep · 18:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1659
3-1Final setsPawlik won
MNMichal Natkaniec
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1443
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 78%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.22
Favourite won
Total 72.5
61 points played
Under
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Michal Natkaniec.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 82% → final 100%
Michal Natkaniec ▼
Biggest swing 20 pts60 points · 4 games