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25 Sep · 18:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MWMarcin Wozniczka
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1500
0-3Final setsNatkaniec won
MNMichal Natkaniec
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1439
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wozniczka at 59%. The actual result was Michal Natkaniec 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Wozniczka favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 73.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Wozniczka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Wozniczka −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Wozniczka is favoured to win, below means Michal Natkaniec.

▲ Marcin Wozniczkapre 63% → final 3%
Michal Natkaniec ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsNatkaniec recovered from 37%58 points · 3 games