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25 Sep · 18:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1387
3-0Final setsMrugala won
PSPiotr Strus
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1319
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 54%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Strus favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 76.5
47 points played
Under
Set handicap
Piotr Strus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Strus −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Piotr Strus.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 58% → final 97%
Piotr Strus ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts46 points · 3 games