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25 Sep · 20:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DSDariusz Szlubowski
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1409
2-3Final setsLukaszewski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1342
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szlubowski at 60%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 2-3 — the underdog won.

Dariusz Szlubowski — profile →Mikolaj Lukaszewski — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Szlubowski favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 75.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dariusz Szlubowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dariusz Szlubowski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Szlubowski is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Dariusz Szlubowskipre 64% → final 6%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 14%72 points · 5 games