Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Bartlomiej Mrugala — TT Elite Series

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25 Sep · 21:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski

ELO 1341

3-1Final setsLukaszewski won

🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala

ELO 1372

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 56%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

Mikolaj Lukaszewski — profile →Bartlomiej Mrugala — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.75

Upset

Total 75.5

82 points played

Over

Set handicap

Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.4

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 47% → final 88%

Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼

Biggest swing 64 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games