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25 Sep · 22:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1372
1-3Final setsGluszek won
WGWojciech Gluszek
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1310
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 60%. The actual result was Wojciech Gluszek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Gluszek.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 57% → final 94%
Wojciech Gluszek ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts66 points · 4 games