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25 Sep · 22:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMichal Krutak
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1597
2-3Final setsWozniczka won
MWMarcin Wozniczka
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1491
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krutak at 63%. The actual result was Marcin Wozniczka 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Krutak favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 75.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Krutak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Krutak −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Krutak is favoured to win, below means Marcin Wozniczka.

▲ Michal Krutakpre 61% → final 26%
Marcin Wozniczka ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsWozniczka recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games