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26 Sep · 00:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1659
3-0Final setsPawlik won
MWMichal Wolny
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1425
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 77%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Total 70.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Michal Wolny.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 81% → final 99%
Michal Wolny ▼
Biggest swing 33 pts55 points · 3 games