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26 Sep · 02:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMarcin Wozniczka
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1474
0-3Final setsPawlik won
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1671
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 58%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 74.5
50 points played
Under
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Wozniczka is favoured to win, below means Cezary Pawlik.

▲ Marcin Wozniczkapre 45% → final 2%
Cezary Pawlik ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts49 points · 3 games